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My fellow AI explorers

We’re hitting limits. Of memory. Of reasoning. Of what these tools can actually do in the wild.

So this edition?

We’re diving into the AI systems that actually deliver value, and the overlooked constraints holding everything else back.

In today’s edition:

• 🧠 Generative AI is impressive—but predictive AI is driving results

• 🔁 Why LLMs can’t learn (and what that means for “AI employees”)

• 🌍 AI is already physical: $212B in infra, FDA approvals, and robot farms

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AI Battle

🧠 Generative Hype vs. Predictive Power

Generative AI may be stealing headlines—but the quiet revolution might be predictive AI.

According to Eric Siegel, CEO of GoodAI and author of The AI Playbook, there’s an illusion at play. Generative AI is a stunning showcase of what’s possible, but it's often mistaken as the final form of AI, when in fact, much of its value is still limited by one thing: trust.

Here’s the contrast:

• Generative AI: Creates impressive content, but still hallucinates. Best for first drafts, not final decisions.

• Predictive AI: Uses real data to make decisions—faster, more reliably, and already powering the world’s largest ops.

• Enterprise machine learning: Optimizes real business outcomes—fraud detection, logistics, healthcare triage, and more.

💡 UPS, for example, predicts next-day deliveries before they arrive—just to load trucks more efficiently the night before. That one system saves them $350M/year and cuts emissions by hundreds of thousands of tons.

The key insight?

This is the AI most people never talk about—but it's the one already embedded in critical systems across finance, logistics, energy, and public safety.

🔮 Takeaway: Don’t just chase the human-like spark of generative AI. Chase the systematic value of predictive AI. The best AI use cases aren’t always visible—but they’re often the most profitable.

🎥 Watch Eric Siegel’s full breakdown here

AI Insights

🌍 We’ve seen tech hype before—VR, crypto, the metaverse. But this? This is different.

It started with adoption:
ChatGPT hit 100 million users in 60 days—10x faster than Instagram or Netflix. That kind of scale doesn’t happen without serious tailwinds:

• Smartphones + cheap data = global access

• 30 years of internet knowledge = training goldmine

• LLM interfaces = zero learning curve

Now, 63% of developers are building with AI. And it’s not just indie tools—enterprise AI is scaling fast. This isn’t a beta moment. It’s an App Store moment.

But for AI to work, it needs more than attention—it needs infrastructure.

🚧 Last year alone, tech giants spent $212 billion on AI infrastructure:

• xAI is building a 2 lakh GPU facility in Memphis—in just 3 months

• Trump-backed projects are crossing $500B

• Meta spent $15B on Scale AI, offering $100M salaries to AI talent

All this infrastructure runs on electricity, and data centers now consume 1.5% of global power. We're not just talking GPUs. We’re talking energy geopolitics and national AI grids.

But here’s the part everyone misses: AI is no longer just software.

It’s already physical.

• Bank of America’s AI assistant has handled 2B+ real-world interactions

• JP Morgan has 200+ AI tools in production

• FDA approved 223 AI-powered medical devices last year

• Waymo has 27% of SF’s ride-hailing market—fully autonomous

• Carbon Robotics is laser-zapping weeds—without chemicals

And China?
They now have more industrial robots than the rest of the world combined.
They’re building robots that build robots—and they’re exporting open-source models like DeepSeek that rival GPT-4... at 1/10th the cost.

🔮 Takeaway: This isn’t just a new tech wave. It’s a full-spectrum transformation—digital, industrial, and geopolitical. AI isn’t adding to the old world. It’s replacing it.

📘 Read the full Bond Capital Report

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AI Breakdown

🧠 Why AI Still Can’t Learn On the Job

Large Language Models are smart—but they’re still forgetful interns.

Despite all the hype around agentic AI, there's a core limitation holding it back from acting like a true employee: LLMs can’t learn from experience.

Here’s the breakdown:

• Every new session is a clean slate—no memory, no context, no growth.

• You can’t say, “Remember what you did wrong last time?” and expect improvement.

• There's no continuous learning, no organic habit formation, no memory of hard-won lessons.

This is a huge divergence from how humans grow:

• Employees fail, reflect, adapt.

• One sharp experience (a snake in the boot moment 🐍) can shape lifelong behavior.

• Over time, they gain intuition and improve—not just follow instructions.

Right now, most LLMs are brilliant… but also amnesiacs. That makes them powerful tools—but bad teammates. You can’t promote a model that forgets everything by 5 p.m.

So what’s next?

🧠 Researchers say the missing piece is continual learning—and when it arrives, it’ll trigger a discontinuity in model value.

🚨 But we’re far from that:

• Expanding context windows (even to 1M+ tokens) hits compute walls fast.

• Real-life work isn’t just tasks—it’s prioritization, nuance, and memory.

• Even seemingly simple workflows (like rewriting a transcript or improving social copy) still need human finesse.

The problem isn’t just width of tasks—it’s depth. Jobs aren’t 500 microtasks. They’re a complex mess of tradeoffs, goals, and evolving expectations.

🔮 Takeaway: Until models learn like us, they won’t work with us. Continual learning is the real unlock—without it, agents will remain tools, not teammates.

🎥 Watch the full conversation here

Other Relevant AI News!

🧠 GPT‑5 could be just days away — Rumored July 2025 release with enhanced reasoning, longer context, better personalization and multimodal capabilities. Read more.
📈 U.S. Senate blocks 10‑year ban on state AI laws — Senate rejected a moratorium on state-level AI regulation, clearing the path for diverse state-level AI policymaking. Check out more.
🤖 Meta ramps up AI hiring with new Superintelligence Labs — Aggressive recruitment continues, offering bonuses as high as $100 M. Read more. 
🕶️ Meta takes ~3 % stake in EssilorLuxottica — A €3 billion buy to power its AI‑wearables ambitions. Get more details.
💸 Surge AI seeks up to $1 billion to rival Scale AI — Data labeling startup aims for $15 B+ valuation amid rising demand post-Meta investment in Scale. Learn more

Golden Nuggets

• 📦 Predictive AI is quietly powering billion-dollar ops behind the scenes—UPS, JPMorgan, and the FDA are already running on it.

• 🤖 Generative AI is impressive, but unreliable—it’s the tool, not the teammate.

• 🧠 Continual learning is the missing piece. Without memory, LLMs can’t evolve

• 🌐 AI’s next phase won’t be just digital—it’s physical, geopolitical, and global.

• 💡 Focus on deployment, not demos. The AI that wins is the AI that acts.

Until our next AI rendezvous,

Anthony | Founder of Uncover AI